Two Hurricane Forecasters Quit

[PBR]

OTTAWA — Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, famous across Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice of making a seasonal forecast in December because it doesn’t work.

William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.

The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run.

Colorado State has been known for decades for forecasts of how many named storms and hurricanes can be expected each official hurricane season (which runs from June to November.)

Last week, the pair made this announcement:

“We are discontinuing our early December quantitative hurricane forecast for the next year … Our early December Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts of the last 20 years have not shown real-time forecast skill even though the hindcast studies on which they were based had considerable skill.”

The two will still make the traditional forecasts closer to hurricane season.

An earlier version of this story incorrectly said they were stopping all forecasts.

http://www.ottawacit...html?id=5847032

[Mint Buster]

Why'd that story come out of Canada? Menzies care to chime in?

[Propaganda]

Ironic, they admit they cannot predict the weather 6 months in advance but they are adamant they can predict global warming 100 years into the future.

Edited December 16, 2011 by Propaganda

[davidkuhlmann]

Why would anyone quit a high paying job where you are paid to be wrong These guy's are dumber than the ones paying them for the last 20 years

[PBR]

"The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run."

Looks to me like these scientists are admitting

what we already know, Climate Change is BS.